What’s Ailing Arsenal and Can They Finish 4th? – A Statistical Analysis

Maybe there is a little bit chance we don't make top 4 this season.

If you ask, I say maybe there is a little bit chance we don’t make top 4 this season.

One of the things that statistics are best used for in sports is cutting through the crap the press spews at fans every day. The drive for fresh stories and angles produces an awful lot of noise, much of which doesn’t actually make any sense when you look at the facts behind the matter instead of the opinions.

Today I want to take a look at Arsenal across a number of metrics used to evaluate how teams have performed and where they are likely to finish at the end of the season.  In the real world, Arsenal currently sit 6th in the league table, seven points behind Spurs with a game in hand, and three points behind Everton. This type of lead isn’t insurmountable at this point in the season, but there are strong indications that this Arsenal team just isn’t the same as the previous models.
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